Gamblers and investors believe (usually) that one can predict the future.
I have not found anyone who can predict the future.
So, all one can do is to use as much information as one can gather and throw the dice.
But it is inevitable that when such a large collection is being put on the market as individual sales that the price will be less than optimum because there is just not that much money on the maket to absorb it all.
That is the reason that the market has brokers affixed to stocks and bonds to assure liquidity. If you want to sell a stock and there is no buyer, the broker steps in and purchases until a buyer is found.
In this case, there is no one to step in and if a true auction, the market fixes the price.
There is not a big market for Custom Shop Winchester 21's because of the price.
CSMC somewhat fixes the base price because that is an actual cost of making a Model 21 today. Collectors who just have to have a Winchester Custom Shop Model 21 will usually pay more for that attribute.
But how many collectors are in the market?
The dealers have deeper pockets and if a gun is underpriced and they can turn a profit, they will purchase but how many dealers have the resources to purchase that many Custom Shop guns. I don't know of any except maybe CSMC, maybe.
My guess is that the dealers collectively will keep the prices high enough that thier won't be any fire sales and/or that there will be reserves on the guns.
If your in the market for a Custom Shop 21, then this is one auction you don't want to miss.
But the prices may be too high if a collective frenzy occurs in the market as has recently happened in the vintage car market.
The fun part is that "we will see".-Dick
Last edited by Dick_dup1; 08/18/14 10:45 AM.
