Originally Posted By: Oldfarmer
Today at the ground I put on a going away orange target - trap just to the right and slightly in front of the cage, throwing a slightly quartering bird towards the left. We fire around 200 targets. I picked up 40 unbroken, 7 had one strike hits, two had 2 strike hits and one had three strikes. A few would have broken when they hit the ground, probably a higher proportion of the struck targets than the undamaged ones, but it was not designed as a scientific experiment.
I guess one could draw conclusions from this small sample.
1. All 4 pellet strikes broke the clays.
2. Almost all the 3 strike broke the clays. 1/2% didn't.
3. Around 1/6th (17%) of the unbroken targets were hit by 1 pellet and did not break. Check your numbers, please. I see 3 1/2% (7/200) didn't break.
John


John, good job running this test. The information is interesting. We do not know how many broke with one, two, or three hits. Therefore, we can't make any estimate of probability of a break from one, two, or three hits. For example, if we have 14 one pellet hits, ofwhich 7 didn't break,we can estimate the probability of a one pellet hit breaking at 50%. If we also know the aiming error and the pattern distribution, we can estimate the likely score. With this working reliably, we can estimate scores where we change one variable at a time. Thus, we can see when to change choke, shot size, shot charge, or MV.